Bilingual is Better

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight PPV card at Brazil. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $30k belongs to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 admissions that match. I will try to get my 3rd chair this week to max it if I could. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at that $30k decoration, then I will likely take a couple shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good quantity of play into money games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Raoni Barcelos — $9,600
Barcelos is the money game play on for me . On the betting line he’s currently -1100 and he’s -206 to acquire ITD. He’s additionally +110 to win in round 1. He’s my favourite play on the plank, the only issue is being able to afford him. For money games, I can for sure fit him . For GPPs it’s going to be harder to get 6 wins paying for his huge salary, but I enjoy him as well. I just won’t make it a priority for him into these championship lineups, but money I need that -1100 on my group for a safe win.
GPP play of this week — Ryan Spann — $8,800
This is a battle I like to target. My preferred drama is Spann however Little Nog is in play also. The best thing for FDGTD is -280 and that I believe Spann can win via KO or sub, and it might be 1st round as well. I think he could compete with the $9k fighters and he could be a guy that kicks off them the 1st location lineup. Little Nog is the better boxer though and Spann does not have a fantastic chin , so I could see Nog winning via KO. I don’t think that is likely, so that I won’t be heavy on himbut he can make my participant pool. Spann is a man I believe is in play in all formats and I will try to be overweight on him. It is more of a fade on Small Nog at this point, but I really don’t see this fight going all 3-rounds and that I enjoy Spann to find the win.
Underdog drama of this week — Alex Volkanovski — $7,800
On DraftKings, I expect Volkanovski to be quite chalky and rightfully so. He’s my preferred play in this battle and his past scores pretty much make him a guy you can’t fade if you’re MMEing. I really don’t see him using the ceiling he did in his previous fights vs Aldo, but those numbers are hard to dismiss. His 6 UFC wins have each totaled over 100 DK points. From latest fight to his debut, all these are his DK scores: 107, 100, 129, 116, 107, and 115. That is pretty wonderful. I think he’s a good prospect of upsetting the legend here and maybe getting a finish for another high score. I don’t believe Aldo is a great matchup for him to show that 100+ point ceiling but at $7.8k we don’t need that lots of points. I believe IF he wins, he easily pays off that salary.
Fade of the week — Luana Carolina — $8,900
There is absolutely no way I’m paying $8.9k for Carolina. She’s the fade of this week and whether or not it burns me then it disturbs me. I don’t see that being the case though even if she wins. I expect this struggle to stay standing and I really don’t see her striking at a pace to cover off her price tag without getting a finish. I don’t think she gets that finish so even if she wins I think she scores closer to 75 DK points and at her wages that won’t end up on the optimal lineup. Even if I make 150 lineups this week I will not get any exposure to Carolina.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 on this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link too. I’m 76-45 for +260.95 (+$26,095) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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